Big 3 – BRS, Congress, BJP – slug it out for Telangana triumph | Hyderabad News



Telangana assembly polls are just a week away. As BRS, Congress & BJP lock horns in the ‘mother of all elections’ in the state, U Sudhakar Reddy looks at how parties have gained ground and the challenges they still face in a SWOT analysis
CONGRESS
STRENGTHS
Impactful slogan of ‘Marpu Kavali Congress Ravali’ resonates well with people
Manifesto perceived as superior to BRS featuring additional schemes that gain traction with voters
Positive sentiment, Indiramma rajyam promise although there is no discernible wave for party
Strong support from unemployed, youth and men
Strength in specific pockets like Nalgonda, Warangal, Khammam, Mahbubnagar, sizeable gains in Rangareddy
Shift of Reddy, SC, and minority votes towards party
Revanth’s gruelling campaign and fiery speeches, Rahul Gandhi & Priyanka Gandhi’s rallies
Proposal for Indiramma housing for poor strikes a chord with people
Joinings of key leaders like Komatireddy Raj Gopal Reddy, G Vivek, Vijayashanti, Teenmar Mallanna
Support from civil societies, farmers’ associations and rights activists
WEAKNESSES
Failure to effectively communicate its welfare schemes and six guarantees to
Lacks detailed outreach strategy and a clear message as to how it will outperform KCR in welfare initiatives
Revanth’s remarks on three-hour free power supply to farmers instead of 24X7 supply
Apprehensions among people on discontinuing schemes like Rythu Bandhu, Kalyana Lakshmi
Lack of clarity on chief ministerial candidate with multiple leaders staking claim for the chair
Loopholes
BRS running ‘scamgress’ government campaign
Poor poll management, party out of power for 10 years, byelection reverses
Lacks urban appeal in Hyderabad, potentially limiting its support base in city
OPPORTUNITIES
United front can significantly benefit party
Can have a strong foothold if it secures 70-plus seats
Party in power can impact Lok Sabha elections, have a national ripple effect
THREATS
Opposition’s portrayal of Karnataka model, BRS’ campaign suggesting Karnataka leaders might divert investments from Hyderabad to Bengaluru
Inclusion of several ‘parachute’ candidates in 2nd and 3rd lists, lacking people connect or experience & insufficient financial resources
If party fails this time, runs the risk of mass exodus to BRS, BJP before 2024 polls, set to impact party’s standing leading up to 2029 general elections
If it falls short of magic number, holding on to MLAs will be a difficult task with increased likelihood of defections
BHARATIYA JANATA PARTY
STRENGTHS
Announcement of BC as CM enhances saffron party’s appeal among BC communities
Presence of strong BC leaders like Eatala Rajender of Mudiraj community, Bandi Sanjay of Munnuru Kapu caste
Support for SC categorisation, curries favour from Madigas
Narendra Modi’s image continues to hold sway
Enjoys support from urban youth
Sizeable gains in Adilabad, Nizamabad and specific pockets of Hyderabad
Effective campaigning by Amit Shah, Modi and other top leaders
WEAKNESSES
State party leadership perceived as relatively weak
Change of guard after removal of Bandi makes matters worse
Failure to keep pace with BRS, Congress on welfare agenda
Allocation of seats to Jana Sena, perceived as ‘Andhra party’, leads to discontentment in party candidates
Defections of leaders like Raj Gopal, Vivek & Vijayashanti and several others
OPPORTUNITIES
Strong show sure to raise party’s prospects in 2024 elections, enhance national perception
In event of hung assembly, party could play key role in formation of new government
THREATS
Legal action against Congress by central probe agencies may give impression that it supports BRS
Failure to arrest BRS MLC K Kavitha in Delhi liquor scam
Poor performance may further erode party base, restrict chances in general elections
BHARAT RASHTRA
STRENGTHS
Rythu Bandhu, Aasara pension, Kalyana Lakshmi, Mission Bhagiratha, 24- hour power supply.Households benefit from ‘Intintiki nalla’ drinking water supply scheme
Welfare schemes for farmers, elderly, widows and differently abled. These sections of people continue to align with party
Strategically managing voter perception through intensive publicity campaign. Party is leveraging advertising, social media influencers and using theme songs like ‘Ramakka’ effectively
Charismatic image of KCR, his role in Telangana struggle and oratory skills.
Proficiency in poll management, good financial resources to navigate critical phases leading up to election day
WEAKNESSES
Anti-incumbency challenge, perceptible fatigue among certain sections of voters
Unemployment, discontent among youth, failure in implementing initiatives like ‘Intiko udyogam’ and `3,016 dole for jobless youth
Strong performance in Nov 30 elections can be a shot in the arm for 2024 Lok Sabha eections
THREATS
Allegations of deal with BJP may contribute to consolidation of anti-incumbency vote
May face tougher challenges in parliamentary elections if it loses Nov 30 poll
Loopholes
Allegations of corruption, favouritism in 2BHK scheme, Dalit Bandhu & BC Bandhu
Resentment against sitting MLAs in some seats coupled with allegations of corruption
OPPORTUNITIES
Can form government with just 50 seats with support of AIMIM, independents and defectors from Congress





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